Game Details:
- Date & Time: Thursday, March 20, 2025, at 1:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
- Broadcast: TNT
- Betting Odds:
- Point Spread: Wisconsin -16.5
- Moneyline: Wisconsin -3000 | Montana +1200
- Over/Under: 152.5 points
- BPI Projection: Wisconsin 94.7% win probability
Wisconsin Badgers Overview (26-9, 13-7 Big Ten)
The Wisconsin Badgers secured a No. 3 seed in the East Region after an impressive run in the Big Ten. Their offense averages 79.7 points per game (47th nationally), while defensively they allow 70.4 points per game. Wisconsin relies on balanced scoring and disciplined defense, making them a tough matchup.
Key Player:
- John Tonje (19.2 PPG, 46.2% FG): The Badgers’ leading scorer and offensive catalyst, capable of heating up quickly.
Wisconsin Betting Trends:
- ATS Record: 21-13-0 (61.8%)
- Tends to cover spreads due to efficient offense and defensive consistency.
Montana Grizzlies Overview (25-9, 15-3 Big Sky)
The Montana Grizzlies earned a No. 14 seed after dominating the Big Sky Conference. They average 76.9 points per game and allow 72.9 points per game, making them a solid offensive threat.
Key Players:
- Money Williams (13.3 PPG): Montana’s primary scorer, crucial to keeping pace with Wisconsin.
- Joe Pridgen (6.9 RPG): Controls the boards and provides defensive presence.
Montana Betting Trends:
- ATS Record: 19-10-2 (65.5%)
- Frequently covers spreads, even against tougher opponents.
Key Matchups to Watch:
- Guard Play:
Wisconsin’s John Tonje vs. Montana’s Money Williams — both leading scorers will set the tone offensively. - Frontcourt Battle:
Wisconsin’s forwards vs. Joe Pridgen. Controlling the boards will be crucial for pace and second-chance points.
Betting Angles & Trends:
- Against the Spread (ATS):
- Wisconsin: 21-13-0 (61.8%)
- Montana: 19-10-2 (65.5%)
- Over/Under Trends:
- Wisconsin: Over in 18 of 35 games (51.4%)
- Montana: Over in 16 of 34 games (47.1%)
Expert Predictions & Best Bets:
🔥 Best Bet: Montana +16.5 (-110)
💰 Lean: Under 152.5 (-110)
🎯 Prop Bet: John Tonje Over 20.5 points
Final Thoughts: Wisconsin Badgers vs. Montana Grizzlies Preview
This first-round matchup is a classic high-seed vs. underdog scenario. Wisconsin’s experience and balance give them the edge, but Montana’s disciplined play and ability to score make them a dangerous opponent. Expect a competitive game, with Montana well-positioned to cover the spread.
