The two best teams are set to do battle in New Orleans in Super Bowl LIX, and we’ve covered the prop bets that you can place on the best players. The quarterbacks, running backs, pass catchers, and defensive players will decide the game. But you can also place wagers on what the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will do as teams during the game, regardless of the final outcome.
Scoring Props
How will the first points of the game be scored? Bookmakers think it will be a touchdown, with that paying -165. A bet on a field goal being the first scored points is +125. When these teams met two years ago in the Super Bowl, five touchdowns were scored before we got our first field goal.
Just how quickly will those first points come? If it’s inside the first five minutes of the game, you get a payout of +125. If it comes in the first six minutes, that pays +115. And if there happen to be touchdowns scored in all four quarters, which did happen in Super Bowl LVII, your payout is +120.
Two years ago, the game featured the first octopus in Super Bowl history, when Jalen Hurts scored a fourth quarter touchdown, then followed it by running it in for a two-point conversion. The rare eight-play was done nine times in the 2024 NFL regular season, and it is paying +1600 to happen again in Super Bowl LIX.
Gameplay Props
If you don’t want to bet on the final score of the game, why not bet on the first team to score 10 points? The Eagles are the favorite, paying -125. Kansas City is paying +105. For the first team to score 20 points, you get even more on the Chiefs at +100, while the Eagles become the underdog at +125.
How large might the lead get? Pretty big. The over/under on the largest lead for either team on Sunday is 13.5. When these two teams played in Super Bowl LVII, the largest lead was 10 points, when the Eagles led, 24-14.
Will the team that scores last also win the game? “Yes” is paying -205, and as big a favorite as those odds indicate, it still might be a great value bet. In each of the last 11 Super Bowls, the last team to score went on to win the game. The last time that didn’t happen was Super Bowl XLVII, when Baltimore Ravens punter Sam Koch ran out the final seconds on the clock, eventually taking a safety and giving the losing San Francisco 49ers the final two points of the game.
Last year, we played the second overtime game in Super Bowl history, and a bet on this game being the third pays +900.
Special Teams Props
In last year’s Super Bowl, 49ers kicker Jake Moody set a Super Bowl record in the first quarter with a 55-yard field goal. Two quarters later, Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker broke that record with a 57-yard field goal.
Butker is here again, and Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has 27 career field goals of over 50 yards and a career long of 61. But the over/under on longest kick in this year’s Super Bowl is 47.5. Both kickers are clearly capable of making a kick from that distance.
In total kicking points scored, the over/under for Butker and Elliott is 7.5.
Margin of Victory Props
In the 1990s, the Super Bowls were largely a ceremonial crowning of the champion. The average margin of victory was 17 points, and only twice in the 10 games was the winner decided by one score.
Things got more competitive in the 2000s, with the victory margin dropping below 10 points, and six games were decided by seven points or fewer. Six more Super Bowls in the 2010s were decided by one score, and now in the 2020s, three of the five Super Bowls played have been decided by just a field goal.
Regular blowouts are a thing of the past, and a tight game on Sunday is expected.
The Chiefs’ margins of victories are 1-6 points (+245), 7-12 points (+450), 13-18 points (+900), and 19-24 points (+2000).
The Eagles margins of victories are 1-6 points (+260), 7-12 points (+475), 13-18 points (+1100), and 19-24 points (+2200).
Philadelphia finished the 2024 regular season ranked second in the NFL in points allowed. The Chiefs ranked fourth overall in points allowed. But both of these great defenses are expected to give up points. A bet on either team to win by a shutout is a longshot at +7000. There has never been a shutout in the Super Bowl.
With over 25 years of experience as a distinguished sports writer for renowned platforms such as Fox Sports and ESPN, Kyle Garlett is a sports betting specialist who has been at the forefront of documenting the global surge in sports betting and online gaming. Based in Denver, Colorado, Kyle hosts an NFL betting YouTube show and podcast. Kyle also has two sports books published by HarperCollins.
Kyle graduated the Azusa Pacific University in 1996 with a B.A. Degree in Communication and Journalism.
