Game Details:
- Date & Time: Thursday, March 20, 2025, at 6:35 p.m. CT
- Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas
- Broadcast: truTV
- Betting Odds:
- Point Spread: Missouri -6.5
- Moneyline: Missouri -275 | Drake +220
- Over/Under: 133.5 points
Missouri Tigers Overview (22-11, 10-8 SEC)
The Missouri Tigers earned the No. 6 seed in the West Region after a strong showing in the SEC. They feature one of the nation’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 84.5 points per game (10th nationally), though their defense allows 73.8 points per game.
Key Players:
- Mark Mitchell (14.1 PPG): Missouri’s leading scorer, key to their fast-paced attack.
- Anthony Robinson II (9.2 PPG, 3.5 APG): Facilitates the offense and keeps the tempo high.
- Aidan Shaw (63.8% FG): Provides efficiency and finishing around the rim.
Missouri Betting Trends:
- ATS Record: 17-14-0 (54.8%)
- Strong cover percentage, particularly when they control the pace.
Drake Bulldogs Overview (30-3, 17-3 MVC)
Drake secured the No. 11 seed after dominating the Missouri Valley Conference, winning the conference championship. They boast the nation’s top-ranked defense, allowing only 58.4 points per game and playing at one of the slowest tempos in the country (ranked 364th in adjusted tempo).
Key Players:
- Bennett Stirtz: Drake’s standout guard, known for his durability, two-way play, and leadership on both ends.
Drake Betting Trends:
- ATS Record: 15-13-0 (53.6%)
- Consistently cover due to their defensive discipline and ability to slow down games.
Key Matchups to Watch:
- Pace of Play:
Missouri’s fast-tempo offense vs. Drake’s deliberate, grind-it-out style. The team that dictates pace gains a major advantage. - Offense vs. Defense:
Missouri’s high-scoring attack meets Drake’s stifling defense — a true battle of strength vs. strength.
Betting Angles & Trends:
- Against the Spread (ATS):
- Missouri: 17-14-0 ATS (54.8%)
- Drake: 15-13-0 ATS (53.6%)
- Over/Under Trends:
- Missouri: Over in 19 of 31 games (61.3%)
- Drake: Under in 16 of 28 games (57.1%)
The total at 133.5 points reflects the contrast in play styles, with Drake aiming to drag down the score.
Expert Predictions & Best Bets:
🔥 Best Bet: Under 133.5 (-110)
💰 Lean: Drake +6.5 (-110)
🎯 Prop Bet: Mark Mitchell Over 15.5 points
Final Thoughts: Missouri Tigers vs. Drake Bulldogs Preview
Expect a classic contrast of styles in this first-round matchup. Missouri’s explosive offense will attempt to speed up the game, while Drake’s defensive grit and methodical tempo could keep things tight. Bettors should watch for value on the Under and consider Drake to cover the spread in a potentially low-scoring battle.
