Game Details:
- Date & Time: Friday, March 21, 2025, at 12:40 p.m. ET
- Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, Ohio
- Broadcast: truTV
- Betting Odds:
- Point Spread: Alabama -22.5
- Moneyline: Alabama -7500 | Robert Morris +2000
- Over/Under: 165.5 points
- BPI Projection: Alabama 96.7% win probability (ESPN)
Alabama Crimson Tide Overview (25-8, 13-5 SEC)
The No. 2-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide enter the NCAA Tournament as one of the top offensive teams in the country. Averaging a nation-leading 91.1 points per game, Alabama plays fast and aggressive, often overwhelming opponents with their pace. However, their defense allows 81.4 points per game, leaving room for high-scoring affairs.
Key Player to Watch:
- Mark Sears (18.7 PPG): Alabama’s leading scorer and dynamic floor general who thrives in transition and from beyond the arc.
Alabama Betting Trends:
- Alabama games often go OVER due to their high-octane offense and loose defense.
- Watch for first-half lines; Alabama starts fast.
Robert Morris Colonials Overview (26-8, 15-5 Horizon)
The Robert Morris Colonials punched their ticket by winning the Horizon League and now face a daunting challenge. Averaging 76.9 points per game while allowing 70.4, they’re disciplined but lack Alabama’s scoring firepower. The key will be slowing down the tempo and minimizing mistakes.
Key Player to Watch:
- Kam Woods (15.1 PPG): The Colonials’ primary scorer will need a massive effort to keep pace.
Robert Morris Betting Trends:
- Tend to keep games close against lower-tier opponents but struggle ATS vs. top-tier programs.
Key Matchups to Watch:
- Pace of Play: Alabama thrives in transition; Robert Morris must control the tempo.
- Three-Point Defense: Alabama’s perimeter shooting is lethal.
- Rebounding Battle: Extra possessions could lead to blowout potential if Alabama dominates the boards.
Best Bets & Predictions:
🔥 Best Bet: Alabama -22.5 (-110)
💰 Lean: Over 165.5 points (-110)
🎯 Prop Bet: Mark Sears Over 21.5 points
Final Prediction:
Expect Alabama’s offense to dictate the game early. Robert Morris might hang tough for a few stretches, but Alabama’s tempo and shooting depth likely result in a decisive victory. Alabama -22.5 looks strong, with the OVER also in play.
